Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

Apr 28, 2022 at 1am UK

Estadio Monumental David Arellano

Colo-Colo
1 - 2
River Plate

Martin Lucero (90+2')
Fuentes (62'), Costa (82')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Suarez (82'), Barco (89')
Casco (19'), Perez (57'), Barco (80')

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Colo-Colo and River Plate.

Form, Standings, Stats

Colo-Colo

Last Game: Colo-Colo 3-4 Fortaleza
Wednesday, May 25 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Next Game: Colo-Colo vs. Internacional
Wednesday, June 29 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

River Plate

Last Six:

Last Game: Defensa 0-0 River Plate
Monday, June 6 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Next Game: River Plate vs. Tucuman
Sunday, June 12 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Estudiantes	13	15	28
3	River Plate	13	18	26
4	Boca Juniors	13	6	24

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 48.13%. A win for Colo-Colo had a probability of 27.97% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Colo-Colo win was 2-1 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for River Plate in this match.

Result
Colo-Colo	Draw	River Plate
27.97%	23.9%	48.13%

Both teams to score 58.02%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.24%

43.77%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.85%

66.16%

Colo-Colo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.04%

28.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.15%

64.85%

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.68%

18.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.58%

49.42%

Score Analysis

Colo-Colo 27.97%

River Plate 48.13%

Draw 23.9%

Colo-Colo	Draw	River Plate
2-1 @ 6.92% 1-0 @ 6.58% 2-0 @ 4.08% 3-1 @ 2.86% 3-2 @ 2.42% 3-0 @ 1.68% Other @ 3.44% Total : 27.97%	1-1 @ 11.16% 2-2 @ 5.87% 0-0 @ 5.31% 3-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.9%	1-2 @ 9.47% 0-1 @ 9.01% 0-2 @ 7.64% 1-3 @ 5.36% 0-3 @ 4.32% 2-3 @ 3.32% 1-4 @ 2.27% 0-4 @ 1.83% 2-4 @ 1.41% Other @ 3.5% Total : 48.13%