Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

Apr 14, 2022 at 1am UK

Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti

River Plate
2 - 0
Fortaleza

Fernandez (10'), de la Cruz (33')
Martinez (63'), Perez (88'), Zuculini (90+5')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Marcelo (66'), Pikachu (70'), Depietri (86'), Tinga (87'), de Vargas (90+4')

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between River Plate and Fortaleza.

Form, Standings, Stats

River Plate

Last Six:

Last Game: Defensa 0-0 River Plate
Monday, June 6 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Next Game: River Plate vs. Tucuman
Sunday, June 12 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Estudiantes	13	15	28
3	River Plate	13	18	26
4	Boca Juniors	13	6	24

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 57.38%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 20.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.76%) and 2-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 1-2 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result
River Plate	Draw	Fortaleza
57.38%	22.04%	20.58%

Both teams to score 55.76%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.2%

42.8%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.8%

65.2%

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.32%

14.68%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.15%

42.86%

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.36%

34.64%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.64%

71.36%

Score Analysis

River Plate 57.38%

Fortaleza 20.58%

Draw 22.04%

River Plate	Draw	Fortaleza
2-1 @ 9.92% 1-0 @ 9.76% 2-0 @ 9.36% 3-1 @ 6.35% 3-0 @ 5.99% 3-2 @ 3.36% 4-1 @ 3.04% 4-0 @ 2.87% 4-2 @ 1.61% 5-1 @ 1.17% 5-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.84% Total : 57.38%	1-1 @ 10.34% 2-2 @ 5.26% 0-0 @ 5.09% 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.04%	1-2 @ 5.48% 0-1 @ 5.39% 0-2 @ 2.86% 1-3 @ 1.94% 2-3 @ 1.86% 0-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.04% Total : 20.58%