Brasileiro | Gameweek 38

Dec 10, 2021 at 12.30am UK

Castelao

Fortaleza
2 - 1
Bahia

Paulista (45+7' pen.), Pikachu (78' pen., 79' pen.)
Boeck (20'), de Vargas (43'), Pikachu (80'), Osvaldo (81')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Rodrigoinho (25' pen.)
Nascimento (28'), Conti (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Brasileiro clash between Fortaleza and Bahia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 48.1%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 24.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.74%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortaleza would win this match.

Result
Fortaleza	Draw	Bahia
48.1%	27.85%	24.05%

Both teams to score 43.06%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.33%

61.67%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.51%

81.49%

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.17%

25.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.21%

60.79%

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.05%

41.95%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.61%

78.39%

Score Analysis

Fortaleza 48.1%

Bahia 24.05%

Draw 27.84%

Fortaleza	Draw	Bahia
1-0 @ 14.66% 2-0 @ 9.93% 2-1 @ 8.63% 3-0 @ 4.48% 3-1 @ 3.89% 3-2 @ 1.69% 4-0 @ 1.52% 4-1 @ 1.32% Other @ 1.99% Total : 48.1%	1-1 @ 12.74% 0-0 @ 10.83% 2-2 @ 3.75% Other @ 0.53% Total : 27.84%	0-1 @ 9.41% 1-2 @ 5.53% 0-2 @ 4.09% 1-3 @ 1.6% 0-3 @ 1.18% 2-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.15% Total : 24.05%

How you voted: Fortaleza vs Bahia

Fortaleza

53.8%

Draw

23.1%

Bahia