Brasileiro | Gameweek 37

Dec 5, 2021 at 7pm UK

Estadio de Pituacu

Bahia
2 - 0
Fluminense

Gilberto (39' pen., 45+2')
Gilberto (73'), Capixaba (86')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Claro (37'), Martins (62'), Yago (70'), Fred (72'), Bobadilla (90+2')
Manoel (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Bahia and Fluminense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 46.56%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 27.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bahia would win this match.

Result
Bahia	Draw	Fluminense
46.56%	26.12%	27.31%

Both teams to score 50.39%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.45%

53.54%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.94%

75.05%

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.02%

22.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.23%

56.76%

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.41%

34.58%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.69%

71.3%

Score Analysis

Bahia 46.55%

Fluminense 27.31%

Draw 26.12%

Bahia	Draw	Fluminense
1-0 @ 11.68% 2-1 @ 9.13% 2-0 @ 8.59% 3-1 @ 4.47% 3-0 @ 4.21% 3-2 @ 2.38% 4-1 @ 1.65% 4-0 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.9% Total : 46.55%	1-1 @ 12.4% 0-0 @ 7.94% 2-2 @ 4.85% Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.12%	0-1 @ 8.44% 1-2 @ 6.59% 0-2 @ 4.48% 1-3 @ 2.33% 2-3 @ 1.72% 0-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.18% Total : 27.31%

How you voted: Bahia vs Fluminense

Bahia

55.6%

Draw

22.2%

Fluminense