Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Goianiense win with a probability of 49.09%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 23.36%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Goianiense win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (9.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Goianiense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Goianiense | Draw | Bahia |
| 49.09% | 27.54% | 23.36% |
| Both teams to score 43.18% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.83% | 61.17% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.88% | 81.12% |
| Atletico Goianiense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.88% | 25.12% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.18% | 59.82% |
| Bahia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.67% | 42.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.28% | 78.72% |
| Score Analysis |
| Atletico Goianiense | Draw | Bahia |
| 1-0 @ 14.68% 2-0 @ 10.14% 2-1 @ 8.72% 3-0 @ 4.67% 3-1 @ 4.02% 3-2 @ 1.73% 4-0 @ 1.61% 4-1 @ 1.39% Other @ 2.12% Total : 49.08% | 1-1 @ 12.62% 0-0 @ 10.63% 2-2 @ 3.75% Other @ 0.53% Total : 27.53% | 0-1 @ 9.14% 1-2 @ 5.43% 0-2 @ 3.93% 1-3 @ 1.56% 0-3 @ 1.13% 2-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.1% Total : 23.36% |


