Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 43.25%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Gremio win was 0-1 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bahia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bahia | Draw | Gremio |
| 43.25% | 26.67% | 30.08% |
| Both teams to score 50.42% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.7% | 54.3% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.31% | 75.69% |
| Bahia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.1% | 24.9% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.48% | 59.52% |
| Gremio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.14% | 32.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.57% | 69.43% |
| Score Analysis |
Bahia 43.25%
Gremio 30.08%
Draw 26.67%
| Bahia | Draw | Gremio |
| 1-0 @ 11.37% 2-1 @ 8.8% 2-0 @ 7.91% 3-1 @ 4.08% 3-0 @ 3.67% 3-2 @ 2.27% 4-1 @ 1.42% 4-0 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.46% Total : 43.25% | 1-1 @ 12.66% 0-0 @ 8.18% 2-2 @ 4.9% Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.67% | 0-1 @ 9.11% 1-2 @ 7.05% 0-2 @ 5.07% 1-3 @ 2.61% 0-3 @ 1.88% 2-3 @ 1.82% Other @ 2.55% Total : 30.08% |
How you voted: Bahia vs Gremio
Bahia
15.4%Draw
30.8%Gremio
53.8%13


