Santos

2 - 0

Fortaleza

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 48.05%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 25.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.47%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (8.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Santos would win this match.