Santos vs Fortaleza - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 48.05%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 25.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.47%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (8.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Santos would win this match.