Santos vs Chapecoense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 57.33%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Chapecoense had a probability of 16.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.58%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Chapecoense win it was 0-1 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santos would win this match.