Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 57.33%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Chapecoense had a probability of 16.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.58%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Chapecoense win it was 0-1 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santos would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Santos | Draw | Chapecoense |
| 57.33% | 25.68% | 16.99% |
| Both teams to score 39.56% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.71% | 61.29% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.79% | 81.21% |
| Santos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.45% | 21.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.38% | 54.62% |
| Chapecoense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.42% | 49.58% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.64% | 84.36% |
| Score Analysis |
Santos 57.32%
Chapecoense 16.99%
Draw 25.68%
| Santos | Draw | Chapecoense |
| 1-0 @ 16.39% 2-0 @ 12.58% 2-1 @ 8.83% 3-0 @ 6.44% 3-1 @ 4.52% 4-0 @ 2.47% 4-1 @ 1.73% 3-2 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.77% Total : 57.32% | 1-1 @ 11.5% 0-0 @ 10.68% 2-2 @ 3.1% Other @ 0.4% Total : 25.68% | 0-1 @ 7.5% 1-2 @ 4.04% 0-2 @ 2.63% 1-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.88% Total : 16.99% |
How you voted: Santos vs Chapecoense
Santos
81.6%Draw
13.2%Chapecoense
5.3%38


