Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 53.01%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Chapecoense had a probability of 21.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.47%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Chapecoense win it was 0-1 (7.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Corinthians in this match.
| Result | ||
| Corinthians | Draw | Chapecoense |
| 53.01% | 25.46% | 21.52% |
| Both teams to score 46.63% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.4% | 55.6% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.23% | 76.76% |
| Corinthians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.99% | 21.01% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.22% | 53.78% |
| Chapecoense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.02% | 40.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.47% | 77.53% |
| Score Analysis |
Corinthians 53%
Chapecoense 21.52%
Draw 25.46%
| Corinthians | Draw | Chapecoense |
| 1-0 @ 13.42% 2-0 @ 10.47% 2-1 @ 9.35% 3-0 @ 5.45% 3-1 @ 4.86% 3-2 @ 2.17% 4-0 @ 2.13% 4-1 @ 1.9% Other @ 3.25% Total : 53% | 1-1 @ 11.98% 0-0 @ 8.61% 2-2 @ 4.17% Other @ 0.7% Total : 25.46% | 0-1 @ 7.68% 1-2 @ 5.35% 0-2 @ 3.43% 1-3 @ 1.59% 2-3 @ 1.24% 0-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.22% Total : 21.52% |
How you voted: Corinthians vs Chapecoense
Corinthians
92.3%Draw
7.7%Chapecoense
0.0%13


