Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 45.38%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 27.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.85%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.84%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (9.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Corinthians | Draw | Bahia |
| 45.38% | 27.42% | 27.19% |
| Both teams to score 46.6% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.61% | 58.39% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21% | 78.99% |
| Corinthians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.33% | 25.67% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.42% | 60.57% |
| Bahia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.69% | 37.3% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.91% | 74.08% |
| Score Analysis |
Corinthians 45.38%
Bahia 27.19%
Draw 27.42%
| Corinthians | Draw | Bahia |
| 1-0 @ 13.02% 2-0 @ 8.85% 2-1 @ 8.73% 3-0 @ 4.01% 3-1 @ 3.96% 3-2 @ 1.95% 4-0 @ 1.36% 4-1 @ 1.35% Other @ 2.15% Total : 45.38% | 1-1 @ 12.84% 0-0 @ 9.58% 2-2 @ 4.31% Other @ 0.7% Total : 27.42% | 0-1 @ 9.44% 1-2 @ 6.33% 0-2 @ 4.66% 1-3 @ 2.08% 0-3 @ 1.53% 2-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 1.74% Total : 27.19% |
How you voted: Corinthians vs Bahia
Corinthians
70.3%Draw
21.6%Bahia
8.1%37


