Bahia
4 - 2
Fortaleza

Rodallega (42', 64', 67', 76')
Teixeira (37'), de Lucca (80'), Capixaba (85')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Pikachu (70'), de Vargas (74')
Titi (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Bahia and Fortaleza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 38.16%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 0-1 (10.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bahia would win this match.

Result
Bahia	Draw	Fortaleza
38.16%	27.57%	34.27%

Both teams to score 48.99%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.28%

56.72%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.33%

77.67%

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.21%

28.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.36%

64.64%

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.8%

31.2%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.46%

67.54%

Score Analysis

Bahia 38.16%

Fortaleza 34.27%

Draw 27.56%

Bahia	Draw	Fortaleza
1-0 @ 11.18% 2-1 @ 8.11% 2-0 @ 6.96% 3-1 @ 3.37% 3-0 @ 2.89% 3-2 @ 1.96% 4-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.64% Total : 38.16%	1-1 @ 13.02% 0-0 @ 8.99% 2-2 @ 4.72% Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.56%	0-1 @ 10.46% 1-2 @ 7.59% 0-2 @ 6.09% 1-3 @ 2.95% 0-3 @ 2.37% 2-3 @ 1.83% Other @ 2.98% Total : 34.27%