Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 36.75%. A win for Chapecoense had a probability of 34.01% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.51%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Chapecoense win was 1-0 (11.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chapecoense | Draw | Athletico Paranaense |
| 34.01% | 29.24% | 36.75% |
| Both teams to score 44.13% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.3% | 62.7% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.75% | 82.25% |
| Chapecoense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.52% | 34.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.81% | 71.19% |
| Athletico Paranaense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.34% | 32.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.79% | 69.2% |
| Score Analysis |
Chapecoense 34%
Athletico Paranaense 36.74%
Draw 29.23%
| Chapecoense | Draw | Athletico Paranaense |
| 1-0 @ 11.98% 2-1 @ 7.15% 2-0 @ 6.38% 3-1 @ 2.54% 3-0 @ 2.27% 3-2 @ 1.42% Other @ 2.27% Total : 34% | 1-1 @ 13.41% 0-0 @ 11.25% 2-2 @ 4% Other @ 0.57% Total : 29.23% | 0-1 @ 12.59% 1-2 @ 7.51% 0-2 @ 7.05% 1-3 @ 2.8% 0-3 @ 2.63% 2-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.67% Total : 36.74% |
How you voted: Chapecoense vs Athletico PR
Chapecoense
9.5%Draw
19.0%Athletico Paranaense
71.4%21


