Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 55.99%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Chapecoense had a probability of 19.32%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.21%) and 1-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a Chapecoense win it was 1-0 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chapecoense | Draw | Atletico Mineiro |
| 19.32% | 24.69% | 55.99% |
| Both teams to score 45.71% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.82% | 55.18% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.58% | 76.42% |
| Chapecoense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.89% | 43.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.62% | 79.39% |
| Atletico Mineiro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.36% | 19.64% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.39% | 51.61% |
| Score Analysis |
Chapecoense 19.32%
Atletico Mineiro 55.99%
Draw 24.69%
| Chapecoense | Draw | Atletico Mineiro |
| 1-0 @ 7.12% 2-1 @ 4.88% 2-0 @ 3% 3-1 @ 1.37% 3-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.84% Total : 19.32% | 1-1 @ 11.59% 0-0 @ 8.47% 2-2 @ 3.97% Other @ 0.66% Total : 24.69% | 0-1 @ 13.78% 0-2 @ 11.21% 1-2 @ 9.44% 0-3 @ 6.09% 1-3 @ 5.12% 0-4 @ 2.48% 2-3 @ 2.15% 1-4 @ 2.08% Other @ 3.64% Total : 55.99% |
How you voted: Chapecoense vs Atletico Mineiro
Chapecoense
2.7%Draw
18.9%Atletico Mineiro
78.4%37


