Chapecoense vs Palmeiras - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 44.5%. A win for Chapecoense had a probability of 27.92% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.65%) and 1-2 (8.65%). The likeliest Chapecoense win was 1-0 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.