Palmeiras
3 - 0
Sao Paulo

(Palmeiras win 4-1 on aggregate)

Veiga (10'), Dudu (67'), de Paula (78')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Arboleda (41'), Alves (71')
Bueno (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Palmeiras and Sao Paulo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 51.44%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 24.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result
Palmeiras	Draw	Sao Paulo
51.44%	23.85%	24.72%

Both teams to score 55.21%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.89%

46.11%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.59%

68.41%

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.06%

17.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.24%

48.77%

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.28%

32.73%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.72%

69.28%

Score Analysis

Palmeiras 51.43%

Sao Paulo 24.72%

Draw 23.84%

Palmeiras	Draw	Sao Paulo
1-0 @ 10.08% 2-1 @ 9.68% 2-0 @ 8.67% 3-1 @ 5.54% 3-0 @ 4.96% 3-2 @ 3.1% 4-1 @ 2.38% 4-0 @ 2.13% 4-2 @ 1.33% Other @ 3.56% Total : 51.43%	1-1 @ 11.26% 0-0 @ 5.87% 2-2 @ 5.41% 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.84%	0-1 @ 6.56% 1-2 @ 6.29% 0-2 @ 3.66% 1-3 @ 2.34% 2-3 @ 2.01% 0-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 2.48% Total : 24.72%