Copa Libertadores | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Aug 11, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo (Morumbi) (São Paulo, São Paulo)
Sao Paulo1 - 1Palmeiras
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 43.8%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 27.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.93%) and 1-2 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.14%), while for a Sao Paulo win it was 1-0 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sao Paulo | Draw | Palmeiras |
27.24% | 28.96% | 43.8% |
Both teams to score 42.6% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.54% | 63.46% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.2% | 82.8% |
Sao Paulo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.91% | 40.09% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.26% | 76.74% |
Palmeiras Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.11% | 28.89% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.24% | 64.76% |
Score Analysis |
Sao Paulo 27.23%
Palmeiras 43.79%
Draw 28.95%
Sao Paulo | Draw | Palmeiras |
1-0 @ 10.58% 2-1 @ 6.01% 2-0 @ 4.84% 3-1 @ 1.83% 3-0 @ 1.47% 3-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.37% Total : 27.23% | 1-1 @ 13.14% 0-0 @ 11.58% 2-2 @ 3.73% Other @ 0.51% Total : 28.95% | 0-1 @ 14.38% 0-2 @ 8.93% 1-2 @ 8.16% 0-3 @ 3.7% 1-3 @ 3.38% 2-3 @ 1.54% 0-4 @ 1.15% 1-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.51% Total : 43.79% |
How you voted: Sao Paulo vs Palmeiras
Sao Paulo
64.9%Draw
16.2%Palmeiras
18.9%37
Head to Head
Feb 20, 2021 12.30am
Oct 10, 2020 11pm
Oct 30, 2019 10.30pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-03-28 14:17:32
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 28 | 20 | 4 | 4 | 70 | 24 | 46 | 64 |
2 | Liverpool | 28 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 65 | 26 | 39 | 64 |
3 | Manchester CityMan City | 28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 63 | 28 | 35 | 63 |
4 | Aston Villa | 29 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 60 | 42 | 18 | 56 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 59 | 42 | 17 | 53 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 28 | 15 | 2 | 11 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 47 |
7 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 44 |
8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 50 | 44 | 6 | 42 |
9 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 41 |
10 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 28 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 59 | 48 | 11 | 40 |
11 | Chelsea | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 47 | 45 | 2 | 39 |
12 | Fulham | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 38 |
13 | Bournemouth | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 35 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 33 | 48 | -15 | 29 |
15 | Brentford | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 41 | 54 | -13 | 26 |
16 | Everton | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 25 |
17 | Luton TownLuton | 29 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 42 | 60 | -18 | 22 |
18 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 21 |
19 | Burnley | 29 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 29 | 63 | -34 | 17 |
20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 28 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 24 | 74 | -50 | 14 |
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