Copa Libertadores | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Aug 11, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo (Morumbi) (São Paulo, São Paulo)
Sao Paulo1 - 1Palmeiras
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 43.8%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 27.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.93%) and 1-2 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.14%), while for a Sao Paulo win it was 1-0 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sao Paulo | Draw | Palmeiras |
| 27.24% | 28.96% | 43.8% |
| Both teams to score 42.6% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.54% | 63.46% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.2% | 82.8% |
| Sao Paulo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.91% | 40.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.26% | 76.74% |
| Palmeiras Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.11% | 28.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.24% | 64.76% |
| Score Analysis |
Sao Paulo 27.23%
Palmeiras 43.79%
Draw 28.95%
| Sao Paulo | Draw | Palmeiras |
| 1-0 @ 10.58% 2-1 @ 6.01% 2-0 @ 4.84% 3-1 @ 1.83% 3-0 @ 1.47% 3-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.37% Total : 27.23% | 1-1 @ 13.14% 0-0 @ 11.58% 2-2 @ 3.73% Other @ 0.51% Total : 28.95% | 0-1 @ 14.38% 0-2 @ 8.93% 1-2 @ 8.16% 0-3 @ 3.7% 1-3 @ 3.38% 2-3 @ 1.54% 0-4 @ 1.15% 1-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.51% Total : 43.79% |
How you voted: Sao Paulo vs Palmeiras
Sao Paulo
64.9%Draw
16.2%Palmeiras
18.9%37


