Chapecoense vs Fluminense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 37.17%. A win for Chapecoense had a probability of 34.39% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.78%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Chapecoense win was 1-0 (11.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.