Brasileiro | Gameweek 19
Sep 8, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Arena Conda
Chapecoense1 - 2Fluminense
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 37.17%. A win for Chapecoense had a probability of 34.39% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.78%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Chapecoense win was 1-0 (11.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chapecoense | Draw | Fluminense |
| 34.39% | 28.44% | 37.17% |
| Both teams to score 46.42% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.09% | 59.91% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.83% | 80.17% |
| Chapecoense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.25% | 32.75% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.69% | 69.31% |
| Fluminense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.03% | 30.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.73% | 67.27% |
| Score Analysis |
Chapecoense 34.39%
Fluminense 37.16%
Draw 28.44%
| Chapecoense | Draw | Fluminense |
| 1-0 @ 11.32% 2-1 @ 7.41% 2-0 @ 6.32% 3-1 @ 2.76% 3-0 @ 2.35% 3-2 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.63% Total : 34.39% | 1-1 @ 13.27% 0-0 @ 10.14% 2-2 @ 4.34% Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.44% | 0-1 @ 11.88% 1-2 @ 7.78% 0-2 @ 6.97% 1-3 @ 3.04% 0-3 @ 2.72% 2-3 @ 1.7% Other @ 3.07% Total : 37.16% |
How you voted: Chapecoense vs Fluminense
Chapecoense
34.8%Draw
26.1%Fluminense
39.1%23


