Chapecoense
0 - 1
Santos

FT(HT: 0-1)

Sanchez (43' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Chapecoense and Santos, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 38.7%. A win for Chapecoense had a probability of 33.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Chapecoense win was 1-0 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Santos in this match.

Result
Chapecoense	Draw	Santos
33.85%	27.44%	38.7%

Both teams to score 49.3%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.7%

56.3%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.67%

77.33%

Chapecoense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.73%

31.27%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.38%

67.62%

Santos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.72%

28.28%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.01%

63.99%

Score Analysis

Chapecoense 33.84%

Santos 38.7%

Draw 27.44%

Chapecoense	Draw	Santos
1-0 @ 10.27% 2-1 @ 7.55% 2-0 @ 5.98% 3-1 @ 2.93% 3-0 @ 2.32% 3-2 @ 1.85% Other @ 2.96% Total : 33.84%	1-1 @ 12.98% 0-0 @ 8.84% 2-2 @ 4.77% Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.44%	0-1 @ 11.16% 1-2 @ 8.2% 0-2 @ 7.05% 1-3 @ 3.45% 0-3 @ 2.97% 2-3 @ 2.01% 1-4 @ 1.09% 0-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.82% Total : 38.7%