Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chapecoense win with a probability of 43.29%. A win for Juventude had a probability of 29.25% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chapecoense win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (8.25%). The likeliest Juventude win was 1-0 (9.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Juventude | Draw | Chapecoense |
| 29.25% | 27.45% | 43.29% |
| Both teams to score 47.71% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.42% | 57.57% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.64% | 78.35% |
| Juventude Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.79% | 35.21% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.04% | 71.96% |
| Chapecoense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.63% | 26.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.49% | 61.51% |
| Score Analysis |
Juventude 29.25%
Chapecoense 43.29%
Draw 27.45%
| Juventude | Draw | Chapecoense |
| 1-0 @ 9.69% 2-1 @ 6.74% 2-0 @ 5.06% 3-1 @ 2.35% 3-0 @ 1.76% 3-2 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.09% Total : 29.25% | 1-1 @ 12.91% 0-0 @ 9.28% 2-2 @ 4.49% Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.45% | 0-1 @ 12.37% 1-2 @ 8.61% 0-2 @ 8.25% 1-3 @ 3.83% 0-3 @ 3.67% 2-3 @ 2% 1-4 @ 1.28% 0-4 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.07% Total : 43.29% |
How you voted: Juventude vs Chapecoense
Juventude
82.9%Draw
14.3%Chapecoense
2.9%35


