Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 55.59%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Chapecoense had a probability of 20.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.22%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Chapecoense win it was 0-1 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gremio would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gremio | Draw | Chapecoense |
| 55.59% | 23.73% | 20.68% |
| Both teams to score 50.51% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.14% | 49.86% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.15% | 71.85% |
| Gremio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.21% | 17.78% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.5% | 48.49% |
| Chapecoense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.44% | 38.56% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.7% | 75.3% |
| Score Analysis |
Gremio 55.58%
Chapecoense 20.69%
Draw 23.72%
| Gremio | Draw | Chapecoense |
| 1-0 @ 11.84% 2-0 @ 10.22% 2-1 @ 9.74% 3-0 @ 5.89% 3-1 @ 5.61% 3-2 @ 2.67% 4-0 @ 2.54% 4-1 @ 2.42% 4-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.49% Total : 55.58% | 1-1 @ 11.28% 0-0 @ 6.86% 2-2 @ 4.64% Other @ 0.94% Total : 23.72% | 0-1 @ 6.54% 1-2 @ 5.38% 0-2 @ 3.11% 1-3 @ 1.71% 2-3 @ 1.48% 0-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.49% Total : 20.69% |
How you voted: Gremio vs Chapecoense
Gremio
85.2%Draw
14.8%Chapecoense
0.0%27


