Chapecoense

2 - 3

Cuiaba

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chapecoense win with a probability of 41.96%. A win for Cuiaba had a probability of 29.33% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chapecoense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.31%) and 2-1 (8.15%). The likeliest Cuiaba win was 0-1 (10.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.