Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Jul 13, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
 
Gremio

LDU Quito
0 - 1
Gremio


Piovi (21'), Marini (71'), Guerra (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pereira (19')
Alisson (35'), Henrique (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Copa Sudamericana clash between LDU Quito and Gremio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LDU Quito win with a probability of 50.58%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 26.7% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a LDU Quito win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.01%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Gremio win was 1-2 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
LDU QuitoDrawGremio
50.58%22.72%26.7%
Both teams to score 61.06%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.73%39.27%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.4%61.6%
LDU Quito Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.27%15.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.19%44.81%
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.46%27.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.94%63.06%
Score Analysis
    LDU Quito 50.58%
    Gremio 26.7%
    Draw 22.72%
LDU QuitoDrawGremio
2-1 @ 9.56%
1-0 @ 8.01%
2-0 @ 7.41%
3-1 @ 5.89%
3-0 @ 4.57%
3-2 @ 3.8%
4-1 @ 2.73%
4-0 @ 2.11%
4-2 @ 1.76%
5-1 @ 1.01%
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 50.58%
1-1 @ 10.33%
2-2 @ 6.16%
0-0 @ 4.33%
3-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 22.72%
1-2 @ 6.66%
0-1 @ 5.58%
0-2 @ 3.6%
1-3 @ 2.86%
2-3 @ 2.65%
0-3 @ 1.55%
1-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 26.7%

How you voted: LDU Quito vs Gremio

LDU Quito
81.3%
Draw
12.5%
Gremio
6.3%
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