Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union La Calera win with a probability of 47.31%. A win for LDU Quito had a probability of 27.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union La Calera win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest LDU Quito win was 0-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.