Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 22, 2021 at 3am UK
Estadio Municipal Nicolás Chahuán Nazar

Union La Calera
2 - 2
LDU Quito

Vilches (18', 70')
Castellani (37')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Arce (51', 83')
Zunino (43'), Eduardo Repetto Aquino (88'), Quinteros (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Union La Calera and LDU Quito, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union La Calera win with a probability of 47.31%. A win for LDU Quito had a probability of 27.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union La Calera win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest LDU Quito win was 0-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Union La CaleraDrawLDU Quito
47.31%25.48%27.21%
Both teams to score 52.27%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.94%51.06%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.08%72.92%
Union La Calera Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.41%21.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.32%54.68%
LDU Quito Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.65%33.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.03%69.97%
Score Analysis
    Union La Calera 47.31%
    LDU Quito 27.21%
    Draw 25.48%
Union La CaleraDrawLDU Quito
1-0 @ 11.03%
2-1 @ 9.29%
2-0 @ 8.46%
3-1 @ 4.75%
3-0 @ 4.32%
3-2 @ 2.61%
4-1 @ 1.82%
4-0 @ 1.66%
4-2 @ 1%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 47.31%
1-1 @ 12.12%
0-0 @ 7.2%
2-2 @ 5.1%
3-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.48%
0-1 @ 7.91%
1-2 @ 6.66%
0-2 @ 4.34%
1-3 @ 2.44%
2-3 @ 1.87%
0-3 @ 1.59%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 27.21%

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