Copa Libertadores
Apr 27, 2021 11.15pm
3
1
HT :
1
1
FT
Estadio de Liga Deportiva Universitaria
-
Franklin Guerra
18'
-
Christian Cruz
18'
-
Cristian Borja
28'
-
Billy Arce
33'
-
Luis Caicedo
49'
-
Cristian Borja
53'
-
Juan Cruz Kaprof
59'
-
Matias Zunino
64'
-
Luis Ayala
90'+1'
-
Pablo Galdames
42'
-
Santiago Caseres
63'
-
Florian Monzon
90'+1'
LDU Quito vs Velez Sarsfield - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LDU Quito win with a probability of 41.92%. A win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 35.56% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a LDU Quito win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.85%) and 2-0 (5.23%). The likeliest Velez Sarsfield win was 1-2 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that LDU Quito would win this match.
Result
LDU Quito
41.92%
Draw
22.51%
Velez Sarsfield
35.56%
Both Teams to Score:
66.97%
Goals
Over 2.5
66.38%
Under 2.5
33.61%
Over 3.5
44.57%
Under 3.5
55.43%
LDU Quito Goals
Over 0.5
83.24%
Under 0.5
16.76%
Over 1.5
53.3%
Under 1.5
46.69%
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5
80.45%
Under 0.5
19.54%
Over 1.5
48.55%
Under 1.5
51.45%
Score analysis
LDU Quito
41.92%
Draw
22.51%
Velez Sarsfield
35.56%
LDU Quito
2-1
@
8.53%
1-0 @ 5.85%
2-0 @ 5.23%
3-1 @ 5.08%
3-2 @ 4.15%
3-0 @ 3.11%
4-1 @ 2.27%
4-2 @ 1.85%
4-0 @ 1.39%
4-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 41.92%
1-0 @ 5.85%
2-0 @ 5.23%
3-1 @ 5.08%
3-2 @ 4.15%
3-0 @ 3.11%
4-1 @ 2.27%
4-2 @ 1.85%
4-0 @ 1.39%
4-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 41.92%
Draw
1-1
@
9.55%
2-2 @ 6.96%
0-0 @ 3.28%
3-3 @ 2.26%
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 22.51%
2-2 @ 6.96%
0-0 @ 3.28%
3-3 @ 2.26%
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 22.51%
Velez Sarsfield
1-2
@
7.8%
0-1 @ 5.35%
0-2 @ 4.37%
1-3 @ 4.24%
2-3 @ 3.79%
0-3 @ 2.38%
1-4 @ 1.73%
2-4 @ 1.55%
Other @ 4.37%
Total : 35.56%
0-1 @ 5.35%
0-2 @ 4.37%
1-3 @ 4.24%
2-3 @ 3.79%
0-3 @ 2.38%
1-4 @ 1.73%
2-4 @ 1.55%
Other @ 4.37%
Total : 35.56%