LDU Quito
3 - 1
Velez Sarsfield

Borja (28', 53'), Zunino (64')
Guerra (18'), Cruz (18'), Arce (33'), Caicedo (49'), Cruz Kaprof (59'), Ayala (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Galdames (42')
Caseres (63'), Monzon (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Copa Libertadores clash between LDU Quito and Velez Sarsfield, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LDU Quito win with a probability of 41.92%. A win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 35.56% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a LDU Quito win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.85%) and 2-0 (5.23%). The likeliest Velez Sarsfield win was 1-2 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that LDU Quito would win this match.

Result
LDU Quito	Draw	Velez Sarsfield
41.92%	22.51%	35.56%

Both teams to score 66.97%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.38%

33.61%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.57%

55.43%

LDU Quito Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.24%

16.76%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.3%

46.69%

Velez Sarsfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.45%

19.54%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.55%

51.45%

Score Analysis

LDU Quito 41.92%

Velez Sarsfield 35.56%

Draw 22.51%

LDU Quito	Draw	Velez Sarsfield
2-1 @ 8.53% 1-0 @ 5.85% 2-0 @ 5.23% 3-1 @ 5.08% 3-2 @ 4.15% 3-0 @ 3.11% 4-1 @ 2.27% 4-2 @ 1.85% 4-0 @ 1.39% 4-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.47% Total : 41.92%	1-1 @ 9.55% 2-2 @ 6.96% 0-0 @ 3.28% 3-3 @ 2.26% Other @ 0.46% Total : 22.51%	1-2 @ 7.8% 0-1 @ 5.35% 0-2 @ 4.37% 1-3 @ 4.24% 2-3 @ 3.79% 0-3 @ 2.38% 1-4 @ 1.73% 2-4 @ 1.55% 0-4 @ 0.97% 3-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.48% Total : 35.56%