Copa Libertadores
Apr 21, 2021 1.30am
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio José Amalfitani
  • Lucas Janson 21' goal
  • Santiago Caseres 27' yellowcard
  • Juan Martin Lucero 35' yellowcard
  • Lucas Janson 54' goal
  • Lucas Hoyos 60' yellowcard
  • Thiago Almada 66' yellowcard
  • Pablo Galdames 85' yellowcard
  • Federico Mancuello 86' redcard
  • goal Willian Arao 43'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Henrique 46'
  • yellowcard Diego Alves 55'
  • goal Gabriel Barbosa 62'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Batista de Souza 73'
  • goal Giorgian De Arrascaeta 80'
  • yellowcard Bruno Henrique 83'
  • yellowcard Diego 90'+3'

Velez Sarsfield vs Flamengo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Velez Sarsfield

All competitions

Flamengo

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 48.66%. A win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 28.54% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.54%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Velez Sarsfield win was 2-1 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.

Result

Velez Sarsfield 28.54%
Draw 22.79%
Flamengo 48.66%

Both Teams to Score: 

62.4%

Goals

Over 2.5 61.81%
Under 2.5 38.19%
Over 3.5 39.54%
Under 3.5 60.46%

Velez Sarsfield Goals

Over 0.5 74.29%
Under 0.5 25.71%
Over 1.5 39.36%
Under 1.5 60.64%

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5 83.99%
Under 0.5 16%
Over 1.5 54.67%
Under 1.5 45.33%

Score analysis

Velez Sarsfield 28.55%
Draw 22.79%
Flamengo 48.66%
Velez Sarsfield
2-1 @ 6.96%
1-0 @ 5.59%
2-0 @ 3.8%
3-1 @ 3.15%
3-2 @ 2.89%
3-0 @ 1.72%
4-1 @ 1.07%
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 28.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.24%
2-2 @ 6.37%
0-0 @ 4.12%
3-3 @ 1.76%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 22.79%
Flamengo
1-2 @ 9.38%
0-1 @ 7.54%
0-2 @ 6.91%
1-3 @ 5.73%
0-3 @ 4.22%
2-3 @ 3.89%
1-4 @ 2.63%
0-4 @ 1.93%
2-4 @ 1.78%
Other @ 4.65%
Total : 48.66%