Velez Sarsfield
2 - 3
Flamengo

Janson (21', 54')
Caseres (27'), Martin Lucero (35'), Hoyos (60'), Almada (66'), Galdames (85')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Arao (43'), Barbosa (62' pen.), De Arrascaeta (80')
Henrique (46'), Alves (55'), Batista de Souza (73'), Henrique (83'), Diego (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Velez Sarsfield and Flamengo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 48.66%. A win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 28.54% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.54%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Velez Sarsfield win was 2-1 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.

Result
Velez Sarsfield	Draw	Flamengo
28.54%	22.79%	48.66%

Both teams to score 62.4%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.81%

38.19%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.54%

60.46%

Velez Sarsfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.29%

25.71%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.36%

60.64%

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.99%

16%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.67%

45.33%

Score Analysis

Velez Sarsfield 28.55%

Flamengo 48.66%

Draw 22.79%

Velez Sarsfield	Draw	Flamengo
2-1 @ 6.96% 1-0 @ 5.59% 2-0 @ 3.8% 3-1 @ 3.15% 3-2 @ 2.89% 3-0 @ 1.72% 4-1 @ 1.07% 4-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.41% Total : 28.55%	1-1 @ 10.24% 2-2 @ 6.37% 0-0 @ 4.12% 3-3 @ 1.76% Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.79%	1-2 @ 9.38% 0-1 @ 7.54% 0-2 @ 6.91% 1-3 @ 5.73% 0-3 @ 4.22% 2-3 @ 3.89% 1-4 @ 2.63% 0-4 @ 1.93% 2-4 @ 1.78% 1-5 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.68% Total : 48.66%