Defensa y Justicia
Copa Diego Maradona | First Phase
Mar 28, 2021 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello

Defensa
1 - 1
Velez Sarsfield

Benitez (19')
Jeremias Fernandez (22'), Escalante (73'), Meza (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Tarragona (61')
Alvarez (22'), Mancuello (69'), Gianetti (75'), Tarragona (90+2')
Amor (56')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between Defensa y Justicia and Velez Sarsfield.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 38.97%. A win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 33.43% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 (10.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
Defensa y JusticiaDrawVelez Sarsfield
33.43%27.6%38.97%
Both teams to score 48.75%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.05%56.95%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.14%77.86%
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.12%31.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.67%68.33%
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.57%28.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.81%64.2%
Score Analysis
    Defensa y Justicia 33.43%
    Velez Sarsfield 38.97%
    Draw 27.6%
Defensa y JusticiaDrawVelez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 10.36%
2-1 @ 7.45%
2-0 @ 5.92%
3-1 @ 2.84%
3-0 @ 2.26%
3-2 @ 1.79%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 33.43%
1-1 @ 13.03%
0-0 @ 9.07%
2-2 @ 4.68%
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.6%
0-1 @ 11.4%
1-2 @ 8.19%
0-2 @ 7.17%
1-3 @ 3.44%
0-3 @ 3.01%
2-3 @ 1.96%
1-4 @ 1.08%
0-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 38.97%