Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 66.71%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 14.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.09%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (4.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.