Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Oct 21, 2020 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti

River Plate
3 - 0
LDU Quito

Borre (53'), Alvarez (60'), Carrascal (89')
Montiel (20'), De La Cruz (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Gabbarini (11'), Villarruel (19'), Ayala (23')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between River Plate and LDU Quito.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 52.58%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for LDU Quito had a probability of 22.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.08%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a LDU Quito win it was 0-1 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result
River PlateDrawLDU Quito
52.58%25.15%22.28%
Both teams to score 48.44%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.31%53.69%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.82%75.18%
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.58%20.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.14%52.86%
LDU Quito Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.87%39.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.16%75.84%
Score Analysis
    River Plate 52.57%
    LDU Quito 22.28%
    Draw 25.15%
River PlateDrawLDU Quito
1-0 @ 12.69%
2-0 @ 10.08%
2-1 @ 9.46%
3-0 @ 5.34%
3-1 @ 5.01%
3-2 @ 2.35%
4-0 @ 2.12%
4-1 @ 1.99%
4-2 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 52.57%
1-1 @ 11.91%
0-0 @ 7.99%
2-2 @ 4.44%
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 25.15%
0-1 @ 7.5%
1-2 @ 5.59%
0-2 @ 3.52%
1-3 @ 1.75%
2-3 @ 1.39%
0-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 22.28%

rhs 2.0


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