Copa Libertadores
Oct 21, 2020 1.30am
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Gonzalo Montiel 20' yellowcard
  • Rafael Borre 53' goal
  • Julian Alvarez 60' goal
  • Nicolas De La Cruz 84' yellowcard
  • Jorge Carrascal 89' goal
  • yellowcard Adrian Gabbarini 11'
  • yellowcard Lucas Villarruel 19'
  • yellowcard Luis Ayala 23'

River Plate vs LDU Quito - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

River Plate

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Oct 1, 2020 1.30am
River Plate 2 - 1 Sao Paulo

LDU Quito

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Sep 30, 2020 1.30am
LDU Quito 4 - 0 Binacional

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 52.58%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for LDU Quito had a probability of 22.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.08%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a LDU Quito win it was 0-1 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result

River Plate 52.58%
Draw 25.15%
LDU Quito 22.28%

Both Teams to Score: 

48.44%

Goals

Over 2.5 46.31%
Under 2.5 53.69%
Over 3.5 24.82%
Under 3.5 75.18%

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5 79.58%
Under 0.5 20.42%
Over 1.5 47.14%
Under 1.5 52.86%

LDU Quito Goals

Over 0.5 60.87%
Under 0.5 39.13%
Over 1.5 24.16%
Under 1.5 75.84%

Score analysis

River Plate 52.57%
Draw 25.15%
LDU Quito 22.28%
River Plate
1-0 @ 12.69%
2-0 @ 10.08%
2-1 @ 9.46%
3-0 @ 5.34%
3-1 @ 5.01%
3-2 @ 2.35%
4-0 @ 2.12%
4-1 @ 1.99%
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 52.57%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.91%
0-0 @ 7.99%
2-2 @ 4.44%
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 25.15%
LDU Quito
0-1 @ 7.5%
1-2 @ 5.59%
0-2 @ 3.52%
1-3 @ 1.75%
2-3 @ 1.39%
0-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 22.28%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
Mar 5, 2020 12.30am
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Franklin Guerra 15' goal
  • Junior Sornoza 34' yellowcard
  • Cristian Borja 36' goal
  • Junior Sornoza 76' goal
  • Luis Ayala 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Leonardo Ponzio 40'
  • redcard Enrique Bologna 71'
  • yellowcard Bruno Zuculini 74'
  • yellowcard Cristian Ferreira 84'
  • yellowcard Lucas Pratto 89'