Copa Libertadores
Sep 23, 2020 1.30am
4
2
HT : 5 0
FT
  • Cristian Borja 21' goal
  • Matias Zunino 33' yellowcard
  • Jhojan Esmaides Julio Palacios 36' goal
  • Jhojan Julio 36' goal
  • Lucas Piovi 37' yellowcard
  • Jhojan Esmaides Julio Palacios 45'+1' goal
  • Jhojan Julio 45'+1' goal
  • Billy Arce 76' goal
  • Billy Arce 76' goal
  • goal Brenner 60'
  • goal Brenner 60'
  • goal Santiago Trellez 82'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Nestor Bertalia 90'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Nestor 90'

LDU Quito vs Sao Paulo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

LDU Quito

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Sep 16, 2020 1.30am
Binacional 0 - 1 LDU Quito

Sao Paulo

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Sep 17, 2020 11.00pm
Sao Paulo 2 - 2 River Plate

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LDU Quito win with a probability of 43.82%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 29.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a LDU Quito win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that LDU Quito would win this match.

Result

LDU Quito 43.82%
Draw 26.53%
Sao Paulo 29.64%

Both Teams to Score: 

50.61%

Goals

Over 2.5 46.05%
Under 2.5 53.95%
Over 3.5 24.6%
Under 3.5 75.4%

LDU Quito Goals

Over 0.5 75.54%
Under 0.5 24.46%
Over 1.5 41.1%
Under 1.5 58.9%

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5 67%
Under 0.5 33%
Over 1.5 30.41%
Under 1.5 69.59%

Score analysis

LDU Quito 43.82%
Draw 26.53%
Sao Paulo 29.64%
LDU Quito
1-0 @ 11.36%
2-1 @ 8.87%
2-0 @ 8%
3-1 @ 4.17%
3-0 @ 3.76%
3-2 @ 2.31%
4-1 @ 1.47%
4-0 @ 1.32%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 43.82%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.6%
0-0 @ 8.07%
2-2 @ 4.92%
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 26.53%
Sao Paulo
0-1 @ 8.95%
1-2 @ 6.99%
0-2 @ 4.96%
1-3 @ 2.58%
0-3 @ 1.83%
2-3 @ 1.82%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 29.64%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
Mar 12, 2020 12.30am
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Reinaldo 14' goal
  • Dani Alves 15' goal
  • Reinaldo 26' yellowcard
  • Juanfran 45' yellowcard
  • Igor Gomes 61' goal
  • Pablo 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jose Quinteros 26'
  • yellowcard Franklin Guerra 37'
  • yellowcard Luis Ayala 41'
  • redcard Junior Sornoza 67'
  • yellowcard Antonio Valencia 76'