Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Sao Paulo and Fluminense.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 52.55%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Fluminense had a probability of 20.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.91%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Fluminense win it was 0-1 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sao Paulo | Draw | Fluminense |
| 52.55% | 26.47% | 20.98% |
| Both teams to score 43.32% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.41% | 59.59% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.07% | 79.93% |
| Sao Paulo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.15% | 22.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.41% | 56.59% |
| Fluminense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.15% | 43.85% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20% | 80% |
| Score Analysis |
Sao Paulo 52.54%
Fluminense 20.98%
Draw 26.46%
| Sao Paulo | Draw | Fluminense |
| 1-0 @ 14.79% 2-0 @ 10.91% 2-1 @ 9% 3-0 @ 5.37% 3-1 @ 4.43% 4-0 @ 1.98% 3-2 @ 1.83% 4-1 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.6% Total : 52.54% | 1-1 @ 12.19% 0-0 @ 10.02% 2-2 @ 3.71% Other @ 0.54% Total : 26.46% | 0-1 @ 8.26% 1-2 @ 5.03% 0-2 @ 3.41% 1-3 @ 1.38% 2-3 @ 1.02% 0-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.95% Total : 20.98% |


