LDU Quito
1 - 2
Santos

Julio (45+2')
Vega (32'), Jose Alcivar Macias (62'), Aguirre (82'), Rafael Ordonez Valdez (90+9')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Soteldo (7'), Marinho (59' pen.)
Felipe (40'), Leonardo (49'), Jonatan (80'), Soteldo (85')

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Round of 16 clash between LDU Quito and Santos.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LDU Quito win with a probability of 39.03%. A win for Santos had a probability of 37.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a LDU Quito win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.56%) and 2-0 (5.32%). The likeliest Santos win was 1-2 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
LDU Quito	Draw	Santos
39.03%	23.4%	37.58%

Both teams to score 63.79%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.14%

37.87%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.88%

60.12%

LDU Quito Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.21%

19.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.15%

51.85%

Santos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.53%

20.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.06%

52.95%

Score Analysis

LDU Quito 39.03%

Santos 37.58%

Draw 23.4%

LDU Quito	Draw	Santos
2-1 @ 8.43% 1-0 @ 6.56% 2-0 @ 5.32% 3-1 @ 4.55% 3-2 @ 3.61% 3-0 @ 2.87% 4-1 @ 1.84% 4-2 @ 1.46% 4-0 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.21% Total : 39.03%	1-1 @ 10.41% 2-2 @ 6.69% 0-0 @ 4.05% 3-3 @ 1.91% Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.4%	1-2 @ 8.26% 0-1 @ 6.43% 0-2 @ 5.1% 1-3 @ 4.37% 2-3 @ 3.54% 0-3 @ 2.69% 1-4 @ 1.73% 2-4 @ 1.4% 0-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 3% Total : 37.58%