LDU Quito
2 - 3
Flamengo

Borja (50'), Amarilla (61')
Caicedo (27'), David Corozo Canizares (28'), Corozo (28'), Alcivar (36'), Piovi (70'), Alejandro Espinoza Montenegro (75'), Espinoza (75')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Barbosa (3', 85' pen.), Henrique (30')
de Souza Nogueira (68'), Diego (68'), Souza (68'), Barbosa (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between LDU Quito and Flamengo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 42.42%. A win for LDU Quito had a probability of 34.96% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.05%) and 0-2 (5.39%). The likeliest LDU Quito win was 2-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.

Result
LDU Quito	Draw	Flamengo
34.96%	22.62%	42.42%

Both teams to score 66.38%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.67%

34.33%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.76%

56.24%

LDU Quito Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.83%

20.16%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.55%

52.45%

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.14%

16.86%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.13%

46.87%

Score Analysis

LDU Quito 34.96%

Flamengo 42.42%

Draw 22.62%

LDU Quito	Draw	Flamengo
2-1 @ 7.76% 1-0 @ 5.44% 2-0 @ 4.36% 3-1 @ 4.14% 3-2 @ 3.69% 3-0 @ 2.33% 4-1 @ 1.66% 4-2 @ 1.48% 4-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.19% Total : 34.96%	1-1 @ 9.69% 2-2 @ 6.91% 0-0 @ 3.4% 3-3 @ 2.19% Other @ 0.44% Total : 22.62%	1-2 @ 8.63% 0-1 @ 6.05% 0-2 @ 5.39% 1-3 @ 5.12% 2-3 @ 4.1% 0-3 @ 3.2% 1-4 @ 2.28% 2-4 @ 1.83% 0-4 @ 1.42% 3-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.43% Total : 42.42%