Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 13, 2021 at 11pm UK
Estadio José Amalfitani
Velez Sarsfield3 - 1LDU Quito
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 43.83%. A win for LDU Quito had a probability of 31.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest LDU Quito win was 1-2 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Velez Sarsfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | LDU Quito |
| 43.83% | 24.31% | 31.86% |
| Both teams to score 58.99% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
