Copa Libertadores
May 13, 2021 11.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio José Amalfitani
  • Thiago Almada 45' goal
  • Lucas Janson 69' goal
  • Pablo Galdames 70' yellowcard
  • Juan Martin Lucero 72' yellowcard
  • Federico Mancuello 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Jhojan Julio 24'
  • yellowcard Jordy Alcivar 76'
  • goal Matias Zunino 78'
  • redcard Lucas Piovi 87'

Velez Sarsfield vs LDU Quito - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Velez Sarsfield

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 4, 2021 11.15pm
Union La Calera 0 - 2 Velez Sarsfield

LDU Quito

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 5, 2021 1.30am
LDU Quito 2 - 3 Flamengo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 43.83%. A win for LDU Quito had a probability of 31.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest LDU Quito win was 1-2 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Velez Sarsfield would win this match.

Result

Velez Sarsfield 43.83%
Draw 24.31%
LDU Quito 31.86%

Both Teams to Score: 

58.99%

Goals

Over 2.5 56.47%
Under 2.5 43.53%
Over 3.5 34.07%
Under 3.5 65.93%

Velez Sarsfield Goals

Over 0.5 79.98%
Under 0.5 20.02%
Over 1.5 47.78%
Under 1.5 52.22%

LDU Quito Goals

Over 0.5 73.76%
Under 0.5 26.24%
Over 1.5 38.65%
Under 1.5 61.35%

Score analysis

Velez Sarsfield 43.83%
Draw 24.3%
LDU Quito 31.86%
Velez Sarsfield
2-1 @ 9.09%
1-0 @ 8.45%
2-0 @ 6.8%
3-1 @ 4.88%
3-0 @ 3.64%
3-2 @ 3.26%
4-1 @ 1.96%
4-0 @ 1.47%
4-2 @ 1.31%
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 43.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.3%
2-2 @ 6.08%
0-0 @ 5.25%
3-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.3%
LDU Quito
1-2 @ 7.56%
0-1 @ 7.03%
0-2 @ 4.7%
1-3 @ 3.37%
2-3 @ 2.71%
0-3 @ 2.1%
1-4 @ 1.13%
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 31.86%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
Apr 27, 2021 11.15pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio de Liga Deportiva Universitaria
  • Franklin Guerra 18' yellowcard
  • Christian Cruz 18' yellowcard
  • Cristian Borja 28' goal
  • Billy Arce 33' yellowcard
  • Luis Caicedo 49' yellowcard
  • Cristian Borja 53' goal
  • Juan Cruz Kaprof 59' yellowcard
  • Matias Zunino 64' goal
  • Luis Ayala 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Pablo Galdames 42'
  • yellowcard Santiago Caseres 63'
  • yellowcard Florian Monzon 90'+1'