Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 45.9%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 27.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Gremio win was 0-1 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Palmeiras | Draw | Gremio |
| 45.9% | 26.26% | 27.83% |
| Both teams to score 50.33% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.21% | 53.79% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.73% | 75.26% |
| Palmeiras Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.61% | 23.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.63% | 57.36% |
| Gremio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.7% | 34.3% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29% | 71% |
| Score Analysis |
Palmeiras 45.89%
Gremio 27.83%
Draw 26.26%
| Palmeiras | Draw | Gremio |
| 1-0 @ 11.65% 2-1 @ 9.06% 2-0 @ 8.47% 3-1 @ 4.39% 3-0 @ 4.1% 3-2 @ 2.35% 4-1 @ 1.59% 4-0 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.79% Total : 45.89% | 1-1 @ 12.47% 0-0 @ 8.02% 2-2 @ 4.85% Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.26% | 0-1 @ 8.58% 1-2 @ 6.67% 0-2 @ 4.59% 1-3 @ 2.38% 2-3 @ 1.73% 0-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.24% Total : 27.83% |
How you voted: Palmeiras vs Gremio
Palmeiras
90.5%Draw
4.8%Gremio
4.8%21


