Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 56.04%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 19.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.21%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (7.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Palmeiras | Draw | Bahia |
| 56.04% | 24.66% | 19.3% |
| Both teams to score 45.77% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.91% | 55.09% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.66% | 76.35% |
| Palmeiras Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.41% | 19.59% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.48% | 51.52% |
| Bahia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.92% | 43.08% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.64% | 79.36% |
| Score Analysis |
Palmeiras 56.03%
Bahia 19.3%
Draw 24.66%
| Palmeiras | Draw | Bahia |
| 1-0 @ 13.75% 2-0 @ 11.21% 2-1 @ 9.44% 3-0 @ 6.1% 3-1 @ 5.13% 4-0 @ 2.48% 3-2 @ 2.16% 4-1 @ 2.09% Other @ 3.66% Total : 56.03% | 1-1 @ 11.58% 0-0 @ 8.44% 2-2 @ 3.98% Other @ 0.66% Total : 24.66% | 0-1 @ 7.11% 1-2 @ 4.88% 0-2 @ 2.99% 1-3 @ 1.37% 2-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.84% Total : 19.3% |
How you voted: Palmeiras vs Bahia
Palmeiras
37.5%Draw
50.0%Bahia
12.5%8


