Ceara
Brasileiro | Gameweek 4
Jun 17, 2021 at 8pm UK
Castelao
Bahia

Ceara
1 - 2
Bahia

Saulo (16')
Mendoza (37'), Jorginho (67'), Pacheco (89')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Gilberto (31' pen., 35')
Jonas (60'), Edson (81'), Anderson (86'), Douglas (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Brasileiro clash between Ceara and Bahia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 41.19%. A win for Bahia had a probability of 32.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Bahia win was 0-1 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
CearaDrawBahia
41.19%26.14%32.66%
Both teams to score 53.1%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.67%51.33%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.84%73.15%
Ceara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.38%24.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.87%59.12%
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.44%29.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.41%65.59%
Score Analysis
    Ceara 41.2%
    Bahia 32.66%
    Draw 26.14%
CearaDrawBahia
1-0 @ 10.2%
2-1 @ 8.71%
2-0 @ 7.15%
3-1 @ 4.07%
3-0 @ 3.34%
3-2 @ 2.48%
4-1 @ 1.43%
4-0 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 41.2%
1-1 @ 12.43%
0-0 @ 7.28%
2-2 @ 5.31%
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.14%
0-1 @ 8.87%
1-2 @ 7.58%
0-2 @ 5.4%
1-3 @ 3.08%
0-3 @ 2.2%
2-3 @ 2.16%
1-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 32.66%

How you voted: Ceara vs Bahia

Ceara
40.0%
Draw
40.0%
Bahia
20.0%
20