Bahia
2 - 1
Athletico PR

de Lucca (17'), Rossi (70')
Anderson (26'), da Cruz (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Terans (40')
Erick (82')
Richard (13'), Marcinho (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Brasileiro clash between Bahia and Athletico Paranaense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 44.82%. A win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 27.61% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.74%) and 2-1 (8.66%). The likeliest Athletico Paranaense win was 0-1 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bahia would win this match.

Result
Bahia	Draw	Athletico Paranaense
44.82%	27.57%	27.61%

Both teams to score 46.46%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.29%

58.7%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.76%

79.24%

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.9%

26.1%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.84%

61.15%

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.86%

37.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.08%

73.92%

Score Analysis

Bahia 44.81%

Athletico Paranaense 27.61%

Draw 27.56%

Bahia	Draw	Athletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 13.01% 2-0 @ 8.74% 2-1 @ 8.66% 3-0 @ 3.92% 3-1 @ 3.88% 3-2 @ 1.92% 4-0 @ 1.32% 4-1 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.07% Total : 44.81%	1-1 @ 12.89% 0-0 @ 9.69% 2-2 @ 4.29% Other @ 0.69% Total : 27.56%	0-1 @ 9.6% 1-2 @ 6.39% 0-2 @ 4.76% 1-3 @ 2.11% 0-3 @ 1.57% 2-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 1.77% Total : 27.61%