Chapecoense
0 - 2
Bahia

Ezequiel (53'), Derlan (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Gilberto (66'), Rodrigoinho (69')
Anderson (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Chapecoense and Bahia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 36.17%. A win for Chapecoense had a probability of 36.09% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.82%) and 0-2 (6.55%). The likeliest Chapecoense win was 1-0 (10.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bahia would win this match.

Result
Chapecoense	Draw	Bahia
36.09%	27.75%	36.17%

Both teams to score 48.57%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.7%

57.3%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.87%

78.13%

Chapecoense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.67%

30.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.48%

66.52%

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.72%

30.28%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.54%

66.46%

Score Analysis

Chapecoense 36.08%

Bahia 36.16%

Draw 27.75%

Chapecoense	Draw	Bahia
1-0 @ 10.95% 2-1 @ 7.81% 2-0 @ 6.54% 3-1 @ 3.11% 3-0 @ 2.6% 3-2 @ 1.86% 4-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.3% Total : 36.08%	1-1 @ 13.09% 0-0 @ 9.19% 2-2 @ 4.66% Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.75%	0-1 @ 10.97% 1-2 @ 7.82% 0-2 @ 6.55% 1-3 @ 3.11% 0-3 @ 2.61% 2-3 @ 1.86% 1-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.31% Total : 36.16%