Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sport Recife win with a probability of 40.34%. A win for Chapecoense had a probability of 30.5% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sport Recife win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.98%) and 2-1 (7.89%). The likeliest Chapecoense win was 0-1 (11.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sport Recife | Draw | Chapecoense |
| 40.34% | 29.16% | 30.5% |
| Both teams to score 43.59% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.01% | 62.99% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.54% | 82.46% |
| Sport Recife Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.39% | 30.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.16% | 66.84% |
| Chapecoense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.81% | 37.18% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.03% | 73.97% |
| Score Analysis |
Sport Recife 40.33%
Chapecoense 30.49%
Draw 29.15%
| Sport Recife | Draw | Chapecoense |
| 1-0 @ 13.47% 2-0 @ 7.98% 2-1 @ 7.89% 3-0 @ 3.15% 3-1 @ 3.12% 3-2 @ 1.54% 4-0 @ 0.93% 4-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.34% Total : 40.33% | 1-1 @ 13.33% 0-0 @ 11.37% 2-2 @ 3.9% Other @ 0.55% Total : 29.15% | 0-1 @ 11.25% 1-2 @ 6.59% 0-2 @ 5.57% 1-3 @ 2.18% 0-3 @ 1.84% 2-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 1.78% Total : 30.49% |
How you voted: Sport vs Chapecoense
Sport Recife
44.4%Draw
22.2%Chapecoense
33.3%9


