Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 43.27%. A win for Sport Recife had a probability of 28.4% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.57%) and 2-1 (8.35%). The likeliest Sport Recife win was 0-1 (10.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bahia | Draw | Sport Recife |
| 43.27% | 28.33% | 28.4% |
| Both teams to score 44.86% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.04% | 60.95% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.04% | 80.96% |
| Bahia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.04% | 27.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.4% | 63.59% |
| Sport Recife Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.27% | 37.72% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.5% | 74.5% |
| Score Analysis |
Bahia 43.27%
Sport Recife 28.4%
Draw 28.32%
| Bahia | Draw | Sport Recife |
| 1-0 @ 13.44% 2-0 @ 8.57% 2-1 @ 8.35% 3-0 @ 3.64% 3-1 @ 3.55% 3-2 @ 1.73% 4-0 @ 1.16% 4-1 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.71% Total : 43.27% | 1-1 @ 13.1% 0-0 @ 10.54% 2-2 @ 4.07% Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.32% | 0-1 @ 10.28% 1-2 @ 6.39% 0-2 @ 5.01% 1-3 @ 2.08% 0-3 @ 1.63% 2-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 1.69% Total : 28.4% |
How you voted: Bahia vs Sport
Bahia
50.0%Draw
28.6%Sport Recife
21.4%14


