Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 57.9%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Sport Recife had a probability of 17.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.28%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a Sport Recife win it was 0-1 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Santos | Draw | Sport Recife |
| 57.9% | 24.87% | 17.23% |
| Both teams to score 41.9% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.61% | 58.39% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.01% | 78.99% |
| Santos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.85% | 20.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.57% | 52.43% |
| Sport Recife Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.47% | 47.52% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.12% | 82.88% |
| Score Analysis |
Santos 57.89%
Sport Recife 17.23%
Draw 24.87%
| Santos | Draw | Sport Recife |
| 1-0 @ 15.34% 2-0 @ 12.28% 2-1 @ 9.14% 3-0 @ 6.56% 3-1 @ 4.88% 4-0 @ 2.63% 4-1 @ 1.96% 3-2 @ 1.82% Other @ 3.28% Total : 57.89% | 1-1 @ 11.41% 0-0 @ 9.58% 2-2 @ 3.4% Other @ 0.49% Total : 24.87% | 0-1 @ 7.12% 1-2 @ 4.25% 0-2 @ 2.65% 1-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.16% Total : 17.23% |
How you voted: Santos vs Sport
Santos
68.8%Draw
18.8%Sport Recife
12.5%16


