Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 54.66%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Sport Recife had a probability of 20.99%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.34%) and 1-2 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Sport Recife win it was 1-0 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Mineiro in this match.
