Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 20, 2021 at 1am UK
Estadio General Pablo Rojas
Atletico Mineiro

Cerro Porteno
0 - 1
Atletico Mineiro


Boselli (38'), Villasanti (41'), Cardozo (64'), Javier Arce Rolon (84'), Arce (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Keno (90+2')
Arana (36'), Gabriel (38'), Rodrigues de Souza (66'), Vargas (83'), Keno (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Cerro Porteno and Atletico Mineiro, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for Cerro Porteno had a probability of 33.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Cerro Porteno win was 1-0 (10.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Mineiro in this match.

Result
Cerro PortenoDrawAtletico Mineiro
33.17%27.28%39.55%
Both teams to score 49.66%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.22%55.77%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.09%76.91%
Cerro Porteno Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.54%31.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.16%67.84%
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.45%27.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.94%63.06%
Score Analysis
    Cerro Porteno 33.17%
    Atletico Mineiro 39.55%
    Draw 27.28%
Cerro PortenoDrawAtletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 10.02%
2-1 @ 7.47%
2-0 @ 5.8%
3-1 @ 2.88%
3-0 @ 2.24%
3-2 @ 1.86%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 33.17%
1-1 @ 12.92%
0-0 @ 8.66%
2-2 @ 4.82%
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 27.28%
0-1 @ 11.17%
1-2 @ 8.33%
0-2 @ 7.2%
1-3 @ 3.58%
0-3 @ 3.1%
2-3 @ 2.07%
1-4 @ 1.15%
0-4 @ 1%
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 39.55%

How you voted: Cerro Porteno vs Atletico Mineiro

Cerro Porteno
23.1%
Draw
23.1%
Atletico Mineiro
53.8%
13