Atletico Mineiro
4 - 0
Deportivo

Savarino (28'), Marrony (44'), Hulk (50'), Nathan (90+4')
Rodrigues de Souza (69')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Ortiz (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Atletico Mineiro and Deportivo La Guaira, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 68.29%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Deportivo La Guaira had a probability of 8.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 21.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (17.38%) and 3-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.85%), while for a Deportivo La Guaira win it was 0-1 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.

Result
Atletico Mineiro	Draw	Deportivo La Guaira
68.29%	23.01%	8.7%

Both teams to score 26.98%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

33.73%

66.27%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.23%

84.77%

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.69%

19.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.93%

51.07%

Deportivo La Guaira Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

33.44%

66.56%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

6.34%

93.66%

Score Analysis

Atletico Mineiro 68.28%

Deportivo La Guaira 8.7%

Draw 23.01%

Atletico Mineiro	Draw	Deportivo La Guaira
1-0 @ 21.13% 2-0 @ 17.38% 3-0 @ 9.53% 2-1 @ 7.08% 4-0 @ 3.92% 3-1 @ 3.88% 4-1 @ 1.6% 5-0 @ 1.29% Other @ 2.49% Total : 68.28%	0-0 @ 12.85% 1-1 @ 8.6% 2-2 @ 1.44% Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.01%	0-1 @ 5.23% 1-2 @ 1.75% 0-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.65% Total : 8.7%