Brasileiro | Gameweek 3
Jun 14, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Castelao
Fortaleza1 - 0Sport
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 55.17%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Sport Recife had a probability of 20.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.78%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for a Sport Recife win it was 0-1 (7.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fortaleza in this match.
| Result | ||
| Fortaleza | Draw | Sport Recife |
| 55.17% | 24.62% | 20.21% |
| Both teams to score 47.2% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.1% | 53.9% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.64% | 75.36% |
| Fortaleza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.54% | 19.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.68% | 51.32% |
| Sport Recife Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.61% | 41.39% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.1% | 77.9% |
| Score Analysis |
Fortaleza 55.16%
Sport Recife 20.21%
Draw 24.62%
| Fortaleza | Draw | Sport Recife |
| 1-0 @ 13.18% 2-0 @ 10.78% 2-1 @ 9.52% 3-0 @ 5.89% 3-1 @ 5.19% 4-0 @ 2.41% 3-2 @ 2.29% 4-1 @ 2.12% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.85% Total : 55.16% | 1-1 @ 11.63% 0-0 @ 8.06% 2-2 @ 4.2% Other @ 0.74% Total : 24.62% | 0-1 @ 7.11% 1-2 @ 5.13% 0-2 @ 3.14% 1-3 @ 1.51% 2-3 @ 1.23% 0-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.17% Total : 20.21% |
How you voted: Fortaleza vs Sport
Fortaleza
33.3%Draw
33.3%Sport Recife
33.3%9


