Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 42.86%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 29.89% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santos would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Santos | Draw | Sao Paulo |
| 42.86% | 27.24% | 29.89% |
| Both teams to score 48.63% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.44% | 56.55% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.46% | 77.54% |
| Santos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.88% | 26.12% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.81% | 61.18% |
| Sao Paulo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.82% | 34.18% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.12% | 70.87% |
| Score Analysis |
Santos 42.86%
Sao Paulo 29.89%
Draw 27.24%
| Santos | Draw | Sao Paulo |
| 1-0 @ 11.98% 2-1 @ 8.64% 2-0 @ 8.05% 3-1 @ 3.87% 3-0 @ 3.6% 3-2 @ 2.08% 4-1 @ 1.3% 4-0 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.15% Total : 42.86% | 1-1 @ 12.86% 0-0 @ 8.93% 2-2 @ 4.64% Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.24% | 0-1 @ 9.58% 1-2 @ 6.91% 0-2 @ 5.14% 1-3 @ 2.47% 0-3 @ 1.84% 2-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.29% Total : 29.89% |
How you voted: Santos vs Sao Paulo
Santos
53.6%Draw
39.3%Sao Paulo
7.1%28


