Brasileiro | Gameweek 11

Jul 10, 2021 at 11pm UK

Estadio do Morumbi

Sao Paulo
1 - 0
Bahia

Liziero (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Jonas (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Brasileiro clash between Sao Paulo and Bahia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 53.23%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 22.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sao Paulo in this match.

Result
Sao Paulo	Draw	Bahia
53.23%	24.72%	22.05%

Both teams to score 49.39%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.7%

52.3%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.01%

73.99%

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.39%

19.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.45%

51.55%

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.43%

38.57%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.69%

75.31%

Score Analysis

Sao Paulo 53.22%

Bahia 22.05%

Draw 24.71%

Sao Paulo	Draw	Bahia
1-0 @ 12.32% 2-0 @ 10.03% 2-1 @ 9.56% 3-0 @ 5.45% 3-1 @ 5.19% 3-2 @ 2.47% 4-0 @ 2.22% 4-1 @ 2.12% 4-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.85% Total : 53.22%	1-1 @ 11.73% 0-0 @ 7.56% 2-2 @ 4.56% Other @ 0.87% Total : 24.71%	0-1 @ 7.21% 1-2 @ 5.59% 0-2 @ 3.43% 1-3 @ 1.78% 2-3 @ 1.45% 0-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.51% Total : 22.05%

How you voted: Sao Paulo vs Bahia

Sao Paulo

27.3%

Draw

36.4%

Bahia