/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F14%2Fsaoplog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F14%2Fbahlog.png)
-
Igor Liziero
90'+1'
-
Jonas
73'
Sao Paulo vs Bahia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F26%2Fgabriel-sara.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 53.23%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 22.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sao Paulo in this match.
Result
Sao Paulo
53.23%
Draw
24.72%
Bahia
22.05%
Both Teams to Score:
49.39%
Goals
Over 2.5
47.7%
Under 2.5
52.3%
Over 3.5
26.01%
Under 3.5
73.99%
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5
80.39%
Under 0.5
19.61%
Over 1.5
48.45%
Under 1.5
51.55%
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5
61.43%
Under 0.5
38.57%
Over 1.5
24.69%
Under 1.5
75.31%
Score analysis
Sao Paulo
53.22%
Draw
24.71%
Bahia
22.05%
Sao Paulo
1-0
@
12.32%
2-0 @ 10.03%
2-1 @ 9.56%
3-0 @ 5.45%
3-1 @ 5.19%
3-2 @ 2.47%
4-0 @ 2.22%
4-1 @ 2.12%
4-2 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 53.22%
2-0 @ 10.03%
2-1 @ 9.56%
3-0 @ 5.45%
3-1 @ 5.19%
3-2 @ 2.47%
4-0 @ 2.22%
4-1 @ 2.12%
4-2 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 53.22%
Draw
1-1
@
11.73%
0-0 @ 7.56%
2-2 @ 4.56%
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 24.71%
0-0 @ 7.56%
2-2 @ 4.56%
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 24.71%
Bahia
0-1
@
7.21%
1-2 @ 5.59%
0-2 @ 3.43%
1-3 @ 1.78%
2-3 @ 1.45%
0-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 22.05%
1-2 @ 5.59%
0-2 @ 3.43%
1-3 @ 1.78%
2-3 @ 1.45%
0-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 22.05%
