Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 36.37%. A win for Ceara had a probability of 34.83% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.59%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Ceara win was 1-0 (11.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ceara | Draw | Sao Paulo |
| 34.83% | 28.8% | 36.37% |
| Both teams to score 45.42% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.84% | 61.15% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.89% | 81.11% |
| Ceara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.89% | 33.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.29% | 69.7% |
| Sao Paulo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.9% | 32.1% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.42% | 68.57% |
| Score Analysis |
Ceara 34.82%
Sao Paulo 36.36%
Draw 28.79%
| Ceara | Draw | Sao Paulo |
| 1-0 @ 11.74% 2-1 @ 7.38% 2-0 @ 6.49% 3-1 @ 2.72% 3-0 @ 2.39% 3-2 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.55% Total : 34.82% | 1-1 @ 13.34% 0-0 @ 10.62% 2-2 @ 4.19% Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.79% | 0-1 @ 12.07% 1-2 @ 7.59% 0-2 @ 6.86% 1-3 @ 2.87% 0-3 @ 2.6% 2-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.79% Total : 36.36% |
How you voted: Ceara vs Sao Paulo
Ceara
47.6%Draw
19.0%Sao Paulo
33.3%21


