Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 51.19%. A win for Chapecoense had a probability of 25.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Chapecoense win was 0-1 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sao Paulo | Draw | Chapecoense |
| 51.19% | 23.65% | 25.16% |
| Both teams to score 56.33% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.15% | 44.85% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.8% | 67.21% |
| Sao Paulo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.44% | 17.56% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.9% | 48.1% |
| Chapecoense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.32% | 31.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.91% | 68.1% |
| Score Analysis |
Sao Paulo 51.19%
Chapecoense 25.16%
Draw 23.65%
| Sao Paulo | Draw | Chapecoense |
| 1-0 @ 9.68% 2-1 @ 9.68% 2-0 @ 8.42% 3-1 @ 5.61% 3-0 @ 4.88% 3-2 @ 3.23% 4-1 @ 2.44% 4-0 @ 2.12% 4-2 @ 1.4% Other @ 3.74% Total : 51.19% | 1-1 @ 11.12% 0-0 @ 5.56% 2-2 @ 5.56% 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.65% | 0-1 @ 6.39% 1-2 @ 6.39% 0-2 @ 3.68% 1-3 @ 2.45% 2-3 @ 2.13% 0-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.71% Total : 25.16% |
How you voted: Sao Paulo vs Chapecoense
Sao Paulo
57.9%Draw
28.9%Chapecoense
13.2%38


