Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 46.33%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Ceara had a probability of 26.22%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.16%) and 1-2 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.8%), while for a Ceara win it was 1-0 (9.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.